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Tuesday, 6 January 2015

My views on Keppel Corp



My views on 
Keppel Corp and I am bearish bias.

Even though Keppel secures contract to perform second FLNG vessel conversion for Golar on 31st Dec, it is still closely related to oil prices fluctuation.

At $8.35 the dividend yield is around 4.7%

The marco event that cause the downside this time is oil so naturally Keppel Corp is affected badly.

The last upside is based on share buy back by management and one sub stantial share holder Temasek Holdings.

From jan 2015, there isn't any more share buy back activities.

So naturally, when the negative news come the price came lower.

Will it slide further?

Yes, if oil price keep going south. Small nibble by investor will not push up the price.

After this gap down, it will shake off any non-investors if there is any.

I have hope for 19th jan 100 lot size to come in play to inject liquidity into blue chips.

will keppel be one of the selected one? 

Chances are high as long as oil does not drift further south. 

Always know what you are investing in and why you invest into it with a good yield and you will have peace of mind.

Saturday, 3 January 2015

HDB Loan Eligibility (HLE)



One must know the big picture of the loan and do a projection to know how long and how much to pay.

https://www.hdb.gov.sg/fi10/fi10321p.nsf/w/HLHDBWhat?OpenDocument

my views on ST Engineering

my views on ST Engineering

Hammer in the chart at the lowest low is formed by Share Buy Back on 17th Dec 2014 after the attempt on 16th Dec is a failure from Strong Selling.

The final 3rd white soldier is formed with Share Buy Back on 19th Dec.

23rd Dec comes another Share Buy Back which coincides with T+3.

30th Dec Disposal of 1,117,000 shares Shares by Capital Research and Management Company ("CRMC"). which is announced on 31st Dec. Half Day Trading.

2nd Jan 2015 another Share Buy Back to form the price action above the support zone of 3.34 - 3.38

In terms of Fundamental, if QR 4th result is good, it will bring investor into ST Eng.

Why did Capital Research and Management Company ("CRMC"). cash out might be a sign not to ignore. Your guess is as good as my guess.

TA wise, the chart does show more bull then bear but read above again.

is the buy back sustainable?

Will marco issue brings fear and sell off?

Too much guessing here.

I projected both the short term upside and downside and we are currently in a downtrend channel.

Understand the whole picture and decide for yourself what to do with your money.

Trade and Invest Safely Everyone!

Some post are money driven.....


While I was drinking kopi at StarBucks, I read something quite disturbing.

Read a post which ask People to buy ticket to hear about how investment can get good return and is a guide to guide their off Spring with investment knowledge?

And the last part, when people try to add you but your account is full, they will be asked to follow you. You don't really have to prompt them to.

I thought the post make sense since it was share by a nice guy in my friend list.

In fact what was posted by my friend is better then the Content shared.

First of all.

I totally disagree with

"By the way, don't expect your children to take care of you and your spouse during your winter years because most of them (with the same old mindset about money) can't even take care of themselves and their own families financially due to raising cost of living and inflation!"

post.

Second i am not against any party but stating merely facts.

1. A child should be filial to their parent whether they are rich a not.

Yes. There are many struggling cases but those are the most filial among us compare to those who just use money to pay back to their parents.

2. By teaching your child to work for money is guiding them to ask you to work for money if you wanted money when you are dependent of them. Don't believe? Use his method and you will know.

THE CORRECT APPROACH is to lead by example.

One must be filial in the first place to expect their off spring to be filial. In the end, whether they are filial a not is pre-destined but you did your part to be a good example.

3. Guidance by word is never as effective. I have a friend who bring his children back to the old folk home which his dad used to stay and even do services for the old folks there after his dad passed away.

No money is gained for this but contributed. This is the correct culture.

And why his dad is living in the old folks home if he is filial? Every family have their story.

I even heard of people leaving their old dementia parent in johor and came back to SG themselves.  Compare this.

4. Teaching your child to be savvy in investment should never come first.

What parent should teach them is to focus on attaining all basic needs

(i) Family Planning
(ii) Career/Consistent income should come first rather then investing.
It should be Saving!
(iii) Property Purchasing, buy what you need and not what you want
(iv) Insurance. Minimum H & S Policy

The market is a cruel place. If you enter at the wrong timing, be it investing or trading, you will see red in your account.

With Good Saving Amount, even if you get a 4% yield return from your wrong timing of investment, you are still doing better then others!

By learning to invest and not getting the FOUR points attained, you will never be able to climb up if you actually fall.

Investing or Trading give people a false scenario that they will be better then others, yet it is those who practice the simple method of the above Four points that have a better control of their life.

Lastly, many post are money driven. I am disappointed the intention of the post is not to remind parents to lead by example to their children about filial piety.

Rather it is to induce parent to pay and receive training material after hearing successful stories. Trust me, these training material are just stage one of a paying process.

If you want people to buy ticket to attend your event, why not be straight forward about it rather then giving the wrong signal by preying on their needs to guide their off spring?

Friday, 26 December 2014

Operators of Certain Companies



This blog post is contributed by Tobi Damaris

This is what I think. Let me share my thoughts:

I remember when I was a foreign exchange student in Guangzhou more than a decade ago. While I was walking I saw some people gathering around in the corner of the street. They were apparently doing some st
reet gambling. The gambling is quite simple, it required only a cotton string, a smart brain and a flock of friends. 
So the way they cheated people is something like this:

the 
main person who performed the trick would arrange the cotton string on the ground in the form of 2 holes. You place the bet, choose either first or second hole by putting your index / middle finger in it, when the performer pull the string, the string will either grab your finger or miss it. If the string somehow grab your finger, you win the bet.
But to made this trap worked, they needed to work in group.
So the other 3-4 people were pretending as bystanders and acted as if they joined the game. Of course when they place their bet the performer let them win, they are his own friends. But when stranger joined in and thought will get a easy money, the performer would “eat” the money. 
I was one of those strangers. I lost 50RMB.
Same thing applies in s-chips. The operators of these chinese companies know that most of us are just retail traders who know nothing about the nuts and bolts and just want to get some extra bucks.

They know that when we see some s-chips counters whose price rose from 3 cents to 5 cents would think “wow, I can’t miss this one.

Die die should try.” So without checking whether this company making profits or no, without checking whether these companies have any representative office in Singapore or no, without

checking whether these companies have any official website or no, without checking whether these companies incorporated in Singapore or no, they just put their bet in their stocks and hopefully the stock price will rise.

The result is:

sometimes it rise, sometimes it doesn’t. Most of the time the operators just lock-in their money inside and after gained enough capital / reached their certain amount of goal, they will intentionally set the price lower to certain

level. Seeing this, inexperienced retail traders, whose goal is just want to make a quick buck, start to panic and they sell their share with a loss.

Retail trader loss money, the operator of these stocks gain money. And as soon as the retail traders sell their share, the price rise up again! And this circle goes on and on and on… 

Anyway, this is just my thought. Maybe I’m wrong though, because I’m just a beginner, only trading for less than 5 months. But most of my losses can be traced back and all thanks to these so called s-chips. Thanks for reading.

Wednesday, 24 December 2014

A Christmas Gift for Everyone!

A Christmas Gift for Everyone.



Seven Points in Entering a Position.

1. Never Place Pending Order for the Next Day unless the Price provide a Good Margin of Safety or a Dividend Yield which fit your criteria.

2. Always have a Plan be it in Investing or Trading.

3. Give yourself a Setup, Trigger, Target Price and Stop Loss. This work for investment too but the criteria will be up to your objective and time frame.

4. Always make sure the Risk Reward is worth it and take note that is ok to miss an upside then to sink with a downside.

5. Before Entering a Position, make sure you check the XD Date and don't get caught with getting dividend at your own expenses. The same goes for rights issue and so on, that is even worst.

6. One way to help you to keep to your Stop Loss is to Chart out what is the downside for the counter when the market reverse on you. This should be done before you enter a Position, not after.

7. Last but not least, Working with the Trend is definitely safer then looking for bottom fishing.

Trade and Invest Safely Everyone!

Have A Merry Christmas!

Saturday, 20 December 2014

My Advice for Newbie in Singapore Exchange



My Advice for Newbie in Singapore Exchange,

1st of all, pick up FA. Basic TA is enough to make you feel good.

The important part is more on how you select business which you can understand.

FA will give you a good psychology cushion even when you buy in but at that point of time the price go lower due to macro events.

 (TA allows you not to buy at resistance/high unless you are the breakout guy which leads mean to 2nd)

2nd, understand that opportunity is everywhere.

 ( I mean is ok to lose chance and see people make money vs people make money daily but you are holding on to a losing position which go lower everyday because we chased fearing we don't make money like how others did.)

So buy at a bargain price which your FA can help you calculate. (est)

3rd, don't invest all your money into 1 business. With that even if you are in a losing position, you did buy at a bargain price.

You won't have fear and sell off for the wrong reason. Holding on allows you to have better opportunity and Margin of safety will allow you to ride the up swing of the business.

4th, if you don't understand the above 3 points, just treat your investment in Sg Exchange as a fixed deposit which give you a good interest rate.

To protect your principal/capital is to buy into the business at a bargain price.

Capital Appreciation will be a Bonus.

Lastly, if you are in a losing position, even though the vested business is at a further bargain price, it is ok not to average down.

Instead use your other portion of money to buy into other company that can give you more green then red at a Bargain Price.

Invest and Trade Safely Everyone!